As we come close to the end of 2023, the electability of the presidential and vice-presidential candidate set number two, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has actually gone beyond 50%, according to the current survey by New Indonesia Study & Consulting, released on Friday, December 8, 2023.
Andreas Nuryono, the Executive Director of New Indonesia Research Study & Consulting, stated in his announcement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a considerable lead over the various other two sets of presidential candidates in a simulation involving three candidate pairs. Set number three, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, safeguarded 26.0% of the assistance. At the same time, set top, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, gathered only 15.3%, with 8.2% reacting as undecided.
” With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran set is anticipated to win the presidential political election in a single round,” specified Andreas Nuryono in his launch, as reported by Antara.
Hence, Andreas proceeded, it is extremely likely that the 2024 governmental political election will be decided in simply one round. He noted a considerable change in the past three months, leading up to the presidential race tightening down to three sets of candidates. In the September study, Prabowo’s electability had not yet reached 40% in a simulation entailing 3 governmental candidates.
After being coupled with Gibran, the oldest child of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi), support for Prabowo has actually surged. On the other hand, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability decrease, going back to simulations with several governmental candidates. “The selection of the vice-presidential number considerably enhanced Prabowo’s electability, instead than Ganjar or Anies,” clarified Andreas.
The New Indonesia Study & Consulting study was performed from November 25 to 30, 2023, entailing 1,200 respondents standing for all provinces. The survey employed multistage arbitrary sampling, with a margin of mistake of ± 2.89% and a 95% confidence degree.
Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Study: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.
Formerly, the Political Statistics (Polstat) Indonesia survey company also released their newest study findings relating to the electability of governmental and vice-presidential candidates two months prior to the 2024 election.
One intriguing searching for from the Polstat survey is that regardless of a month of objection and circulating concerns, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka’s electability continues to be resolute. As a matter of fact, both, perceived by the public to have gotten complete recommendation from President Jokowi, is obtaining a lot more appeal.
This is just one of the conclusions from the Polstat Indonesia study, conducted from November 27 to December 2013 throughout all 38 districts in the Republic of Indonesia.
” When Polstat Indonesia asked respondents which pair they would select if the election were held today, 43.5% of participants said they would certainly elect for Prabowo-Gibran,” claimed Apna Permana, Supervisor of Research Study at Polstat Indonesia.
The pair that has lately often tended to take an opposing stance to the government, Ganjar-Mahfud, is encountering a decrease in appeal, with only 27.2% of respondents choosing them.
Anies-Cak Imin, on the various other hand, amassed an electability of 25.8%, very closely approaching Ganjar-Mahfud’s position. Just 3.5% of participants continued to be unsure.
The survey’s population included all Indonesian residents aged 17 and over who possessed an Electronic Identification Card (E-KTP). An example size of 1,200 respondents was gotten through a multi-stage arbitrary sampling strategy.
The margin of mistake was +/- 2.8%, with a confidence level of 95%. Data collection was carried out through direct in person interviews with participants utilizing surveys.
Disbelief in Surveys: TKN Chairman Thinks Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Political election.
Chairman of the National Winning Group (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, advised all volunteer fans of the third pair of presidential and vice-presidential prospects not to believe the survey results. He shared confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would certainly win with 54% of the vote in the 2024 presidential political election, going beyond other prospects with high electability.
” We have a target; we must stay positive concerning winning 54%. Do not count on the numbers; don’t be dissuaded by the figures,” claimed Arsjad during his speech at the progressive affirmation event for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.
He shared a story regarding Ganjar’s advocate Governor of Central Java, where Ganjar at first had reduced survey numbers compared to his challenger. However, Ganjar took care of to become the winner.
In the end, Mas Ganjar became the guv,” Arsjad mentioned.
Therefore, Arsjad called upon all volunteers to interact and artistically to ensure Ganjar-Mahfud’s success in a single round in the 2024 governmental political election.
” We have to believe that we can win; winning in one round is our goal. It’s my target, your target, and our shared target,” Arsjad stressed.
He highlighted the minimal time left for campaigning, with only 66 days staying. Consequently, he urged every person to move forward with unity and creativity.